Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000106 0.000119 0.000132 0.000148 0.000165 0.000184 0.000205
2024-10-13 0.000088 0.000104 0.000123 0.000147 0.000174 0.000206 0.000245
2024-10-20 0.000075 0.000095 0.000118 0.000148 0.000185 0.000230 0.000289
2024-10-27 0.000066 0.000087 0.000113 0.000149 0.000196 0.000255 0.000336
2024-11-03 0.000057 0.000079 0.000107 0.000147 0.000202 0.000274 0.000377
2024-11-10 0.000052 0.000074 0.000105 0.000150 0.000214 0.000302 0.000432
2024-11-17 0.000046 0.000069 0.000100 0.000149 0.000220 0.000321 0.000477
2024-11-24 0.000042 0.000064 0.000097 0.000149 0.000228 0.000344 0.000529
2024-12-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000093 0.000147 0.000233 0.000362 0.000574
2024-12-08 0.000034 0.000056 0.000090 0.000146 0.000238 0.000381 0.000622
2024-12-15 0.000031 0.000053 0.000087 0.000146 0.000244 0.000402 0.000675
2024-12-22 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000146 0.000251 0.000424 0.000731
2024-12-29 0.000027 0.000048 0.000083 0.000147 0.000259 0.000449 0.000796
2025-01-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000145 0.000263 0.000468 0.000853
2025-01-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000146 0.000272 0.000496 0.000927
2025-01-19 0.000021 0.000041 0.000077 0.000147 0.000281 0.000524 0.001005
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000074 0.000145 0.000284 0.000542 0.001065
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000148 0.000296 0.000578 0.001163
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000036 0.000072 0.000147 0.000300 0.000600 0.001234
2025-02-16 0.000016 0.000034 0.000070 0.000147 0.000308 0.000628 0.001321
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000033 0.000068 0.000146 0.000311 0.000648 0.001391
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000066 0.000145 0.000315 0.000669 0.001467
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000030 0.000065 0.000144 0.000321 0.000695 0.001555